NFL Week 15

Published on 15 December 2024 at 10:34

Best Bets of the Week

Bengals @ Titans Over 46.5 Total Match Points @1.95

The Bengals and Titans represent two of the NFL's bottom-six scoring defenses, as Cincinnati allows 27.7 points per game (fourth-most in the league) while the Titans allow 26.3 (sixth-most).

 

Byrce Young Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (Panthers) @1.88

Over his last four games, Young has averaged 3.75 carries per game and 24 yards on the ground. That puts this over/under of 16.5 well within reach, especially considering the Cowboys issues against mobile quarterbacks, being ranked 2nd worst in the league.

 

Josh Jacobs Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (Packers) @1.88

Over his last four games, Jacobs has rushed 81 times with never fewer than 18 carries in any game. The Seahawks average 4.7 yards allowed to everyone who has rushed against them. 

 

Kyler Murray Over 227.5 Passing Yards (Cardinals) @1.88

The Cardinals quarterback has gone over the above line for four consecutive efforts, averaging 267 passing yards per game since Week 10. He figures to post similar numbers versus a banged-up Patriots defense that has given up 7.4 yards per attempt and generated the sixth-fewest sacks on the season (27).

 

Smokey Bets

Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (Chiefs) @2.50

In four career games against the Browns, Kelce has scored a touchdown in all of them and two TDs in two of those. 

 

Tank Bisgby 60+ Alt Rushing Yards @2.15

Bigsby reasserted himself as the lead back for the Jaguars last week (on early downs), with Ettiene handling more of the passing-down work. Bigsby has been one of the most efficient RBs in the league — his +1.2 rushing yards over expected per attempt ranks fourth. He also leads the league with 4.4 yards after contact per attempt.

 

Derrick Henry 110+ Alt Rushing Yards @2.03

With a week off to rest prior to this matchup, the Ravens star should look more like the RB who is fifth in the NFL in missed tackles forced, second in yards after contact, and first with 14 runs of 20+ yards. Baltimore should dominate time of possession and feed Henry more than enough carries to break off a big game.

 

Anytime Touchdown Multi @7.40

Isaiah Pacheco (Chiefs) @2.20

Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders) @1.87

Jamarr Chase (Bengals) @1.80

 

Hail Mary Bet

Stone Smartt Anytime Touchdown (Chargers) @4.60

Smartt is in line for a bigger role in the Charger offense with Dissly out with a shoulder injury. Smartt finished with a 3-3-54 line last week. This is an excellent home matchup against a Tampa Bay team that ranks 28th against the position. 

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